Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.105626 0.121974 0.140016 0.161406 0.186079 0.213655 0.246827
2026-02-01 0.076372 0.097353 0.122869 0.156197 0.198613 0.250845 0.320147
2026-02-08 0.063234 0.086374 0.116494 0.158594 0.215997 0.291653 0.399182
2026-02-15 0.053767 0.077693 0.110605 0.159224 0.229341 0.327019 0.473866
2026-02-22 0.047168 0.071555 0.106744 0.161272 0.243829 0.364487 0.554927
2026-03-01 0.040649 0.064402 0.100170 0.158013 0.249477 0.389007 0.619032
2026-03-08 0.035570 0.058633 0.094738 0.155450 0.255333 0.413787 0.685613
2026-03-15 0.032224 0.055103 0.092234 0.156972 0.267466 0.449233 0.772782
2026-03-22 0.030458 0.053907 0.093269 0.164265 0.289692 0.503173 0.896576
2026-03-29 0.028460 0.052028 0.092870 0.168927 0.307733 0.551689 1.016192
2026-04-05 0.026564 0.050076 0.092067 0.172672 0.324384 0.599264 1.139146
2026-04-12 0.024603 0.047756 0.090310 0.174387 0.337352 0.641312 1.256239
2026-04-19 0.022299 0.044562 0.086668 0.172289 0.343175 0.671259 1.354867
2026-04-26 0.019842 0.040788 0.081519 0.166691 0.341585 0.686931 1.427448
2026-05-03 0.018580 0.039253 0.080542 0.169249 0.356481 0.736368 1.573878
2026-05-10 0.017256 0.037426 0.078765 0.169921 0.367484 0.778960 1.710702
2026-05-17 0.016210 0.036063 0.077779 0.172108 0.381848 0.829876 1.870974
2026-05-24 0.014770 0.033674 0.074363 0.168629 0.383469 0.853727 1.974113
2026-05-31 0.013542 0.031616 0.071438 0.165893 0.386390 0.880607 2.086996
2026-06-07 0.012765 0.030503 0.070482 0.167517 0.399403 0.931314 2.260854
2026-06-14 0.012488 0.030526 0.072099 0.175303 0.427650 1.019771 2.534602
2026-06-21 0.012028 0.030059 0.072524 0.180279 0.449702 1.095990 2.787215
2026-06-28 0.011534 0.029450 0.072550 0.184277 0.469779 1.169539 3.041566